American
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 78.8374Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 3-14 214 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 9-13 218 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 10-15 222 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 16- 5 227 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 12-16 307 H UMBC America Eas ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-15 311 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 5-17 314 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 10-11 320 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 19-15 325 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 5-16 328 A Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 3-16 404 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 5-20 411 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 14- 7 415 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 11-12 418 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-10 422 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Georgetown 3-14 -11 -10 -1.25
214 H Temple 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.28
218 A George Washington 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.56
222 A Howard (DC) 16- 5 11 10 1.30
227 H George Mason 12-16 -4 4 --- -8.23
307 H UMBC 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.59
311 A Pittsburgh 5-17 -12 -11 -0.76
314 H Colgate 10-11 -1 -1 0.14
320 A Lehigh 19-15 4 -3 +++ 6.89
325 H Loyola (MD) 5-16 -11 -9 -1.67
328 A Boston University 3-16 -13 -7 -- -5.93
404 A Army 5-20 -15 -14 -0.02
411 H Holy Cross 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.41
415 H Bucknell 11-12 -1 -4 + 2.82
418 A Lafayette 12-10 2 -2 + 3.63
422 A Navy 5-18 -13 -16 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H George Mason 12-16 -4 4 --- -8.23 307 H UMBC 5-15 -10 0 --- -9.59 328 A Boston University 3-16 -13 -7 -- -5.93 218 A George Washington 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Lehigh 19-15 4 -3 +++ 6.89 411 H Holy Cross 14- 7 7 -3 +++ 10.41 214 H Temple 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.28 415 H Bucknell 11-12 -1 -4 + 2.82 418 A Lafayette 12-10 2 -2 + 3.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 3-14 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 1.08 -6.12
0 H Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 9-13 -13.42 26.75 -1.37 1.08 -8.00
0 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 10-15 -19.99 20.17 1.37 1.08 -10.08
0 A Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 16- 5 -32.13 8.03 1.37 1.08 20.36
0 H George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 12-16 -23.93 16.24 -1.37 1.08 -13.69
0 H UMBC ( 7- 8, 80.6) 5-15 -19.29 20.88 -1.37 1.08 -11.18
0 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 5-17 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.08 -5.32
0 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 10-11 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 1.08 -10.79
0 A Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 19-15 -19.54 20.63 1.37 1.08 47.64
0 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 5-16 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 1.08 -6.35
0 A Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 3-16 -15.36 24.81 1.37 1.08 -7.57
0 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 5-20 -8.45 31.72 1.37 1.08 -3.83
0 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 14- 7 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.08 48.75
0 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 11-12 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 1.08 -9.34
0 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-10 -20.80 19.36 1.37 1.08 44.89
0 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 5-18 -6.87 33.29 1.37 1.08 -2.98
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66.37
|
winning pts = 161.6320 losing points = -95.2639
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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